tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post3941846229853890000..comments2022-11-09T12:39:42.787+00:00Comments on Bastian's Book Reviews: Politics Special: Brexit?Federhirnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13656100595092562221noreply@blogger.comBlogger18125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-25682378878229131662016-06-09T12:52:54.846+01:002016-06-09T12:52:54.846+01:00Thank you for your comment! Fair points, and thank...Thank you for your comment! Fair points, and thanks for raising them. Federhirnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13656100595092562221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-42540186076426335592016-06-09T12:44:33.334+01:002016-06-09T12:44:33.334+01:006) Migration: new flows of people. I think a radic...6) Migration: new flows of people. I think a radical departure from the EU would, in the long term, lead to a reduction of migration to the UK from EU countries. In the short term, there might be fluctuations in either direction, as people who were considering to move feel an added impetus to speed up their plans before the borders come down.<br /><br />7) Red Tape / Regulation: I mentioned aboveFederhirnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13656100595092562221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-32435351672689575592016-06-09T12:44:19.166+01:002016-06-09T12:44:19.166+01:003) Most economists seem to think that at least 10 ...3) Most economists seem to think that at least 10 years of economic turmoil are likely, with a hefty recession. Some do believe that things would recover, and even improve, after a transitional period. (The reason I think no politicians will go down this route is that any leader creating 10 years of recession would be destroying his own chance to get re-elected.) The biggest sponsor of the Leave Federhirnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13656100595092562221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-37014798673046172292016-06-09T12:44:05.639+01:002016-06-09T12:44:05.639+01:00Thank you for your comment. You're asking me t...Thank you for your comment. You're asking me to speculate - and unfortunately, speculation can never be entirely factual. <br /><br />So, for my buest guesses, I think if the EEA / EFTA route is not chosen, then the following challenges would be likely arise:<br /><br />1) There would be little goodwill towards the UK's wishes from many existing EU member nations. This would make it hard Federhirnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13656100595092562221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-26300306913348827932016-06-09T11:49:33.678+01:002016-06-09T11:49:33.678+01:00Great article. I'm still voting for #leave th...Great article. I'm still voting for #leave though. One thing that you don't mention about the EEA/EFTA options is that under these we are free to negotiate our own free trade deals with the rest of the world (which we aren't allowed do at the moment). Additionally a lot of EU policy comes from the ISO and other standards bodies, which we can still sit on as EEA/EFTA members and Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16389754478937726668noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-70711658257610347692016-06-09T11:34:45.519+01:002016-06-09T11:34:45.519+01:00Great article, thanks. Can you offer more insight ...Great article, thanks. Can you offer more insight into what you think the consequences of a more radical departure from Europe would look like? You mention it briefly but not in any great detail. What would baby and bathwater on pavement look like? Thanks Nickhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13736792634830889879noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-64364311842345122952016-06-07T16:25:13.483+01:002016-06-07T16:25:13.483+01:00Unfortunately, it's not possible to know the f...Unfortunately, it's not possible to know the facts of what will happen if people vote to leave. The best I could do was outline the main options and estimate which is most likely to be applied. I tried my best to indicate where I was speculating, and where things were factual, and I tried to explain why I thought which options were likely (and what the obstacles to each option are).<br /><br Federhirnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13656100595092562221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-21591909332420815762016-06-07T13:57:59.373+01:002016-06-07T13:57:59.373+01:00Some good, informative information on the FACTS ar...Some good, informative information on the FACTS around what changes will happen. It's a shame you put your own opinions and beliefs into it though as it now feels biased towards staying because that's what you BELIEVE is the right thing to do. I just want the facts around what WILL happen if we stay or go, not someone's opinions on what they think will happen. I get politicians Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10226034971972656050noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-58843434503857254412016-06-07T13:28:01.706+01:002016-06-07T13:28:01.706+01:00Thanks!Thanks!Federhirnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13656100595092562221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-50323928046127511412016-06-07T13:27:08.788+01:002016-06-07T13:27:08.788+01:00Thank you for the praise. Glad someone found it us...Thank you for the praise. Glad someone found it useful!Federhirnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13656100595092562221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-84064666951957706052016-06-07T11:51:01.676+01:002016-06-07T11:51:01.676+01:00This is the best and most comprehensive informatio...This is the best and most comprehensive information I have read on the whole problem of which way to vote. Thank you so muchBernice Hopperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12155326856012097548noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-5994946471507058862016-06-04T19:50:28.426+01:002016-06-04T19:50:28.426+01:00Thank you! I'm not sure I could honestly call ...Thank you! I'm not sure I could honestly call my post 'concise', but I'm very happy to hear you found it clear and useful!Federhirnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13656100595092562221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-89310348639816811042016-06-04T12:15:22.524+01:002016-06-04T12:15:22.524+01:00Thank you
I am probably the least politically min...Thank you <br />I am probably the least politically minded person I know but I also know every vote counts so I wanted to make the right decision. Your clear and concise explanation has set my mind at ease. #Remain <br />It doesn't bother me that it wasn't a Brit that wrote it either. Most of my colleagues and friends are here from Europe and they are the hardest workers I've met. TKingCattrallhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02790076332728261385noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-43471320622227737072016-06-04T11:13:28.244+01:002016-06-04T11:13:28.244+01:00Thank you very much!Thank you very much!Federhirnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13656100595092562221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-7342243175706248852016-06-04T10:51:43.380+01:002016-06-04T10:51:43.380+01:00Thank you so much for this. The most useful and we...Thank you so much for this. The most useful and well reasoned reading I have come across on the subject. I have shared on Facebook and many friends have commented the same and re-shared. Really - a must-read, in my opinion.Anji*https://www.blogger.com/profile/03628834256092156990noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-70941706658657229142016-06-03T11:18:25.290+01:002016-06-03T11:18:25.290+01:00very good piece I came to roughtley the same concl...very good piece I came to roughtley the same conclusions but it is nice to see them all liayed out and I like the analysis of what might actuley happen is a post britexit world.<br />mm1145https://www.blogger.com/profile/12645903403674210049noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-42198618272664520692016-05-17T23:16:52.580+01:002016-05-17T23:16:52.580+01:00High praise indeed. Thank you very much!High praise indeed. Thank you very much!Federhirnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13656100595092562221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5864212134136514804.post-35143397308340016352016-05-17T21:34:30.174+01:002016-05-17T21:34:30.174+01:00I found this extremely informative. It should be d...I found this extremely informative. It should be distributed to every UK household.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14512864870701853897noreply@blogger.com